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Brazil Reacts to Bolsonaro Conviction: Political Fallout Unfolds

SÃO PAULO — Brazil is buzzing with debate after Jair Bolsonaro’s recent conviction for attempting a coup. The former president now weighs his next move as supporters decry political persecution and critics hail justice served.

Nationwide protests have erupted from Rio to Brasília, with thousands taking to the streets in colorful rallies. Polls show a divided country: 47% believe the verdict weakens democracy, while 52% see it as an essential check on authoritarian threats, according to a recent DataFolha survey.

Political analysts say the ruling could reshape the 2026 presidential race, energizing opposition while testing Bolsonaro’s legal and popular resilience. “This is a turning point,” says Ana Freitas, a political science professor at the University of São Paulo. “It sends a clear signal that no leader is above the rule of law.”

But Bolsonaro’s allies remain defiant. Social media channels backed by his base are calling for legitimate dissent, framing the conviction as a vote to silence conservative voices. Some legal experts warn that continued unrest could strain Brazil’s institutions and economic outlook, potentially affecting investor confidence in Latin America’s largest economy.

In Brasília, members of Congress are debating proposals to tighten anti-coup measures and safeguard judicial independence. Meanwhile, civil society groups are planning dialogues to bridge Brazil’s political divide, focusing on youth engagement and digital activism to foster inclusive debate.

As Brazil charts its course, the global community watches closely. The outcome of this political drama could offer lessons for democracies worldwide facing the rise of charismatic populism and questions over the rule of law.

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