The fragile ceasefire in Gaza teeters on uncertainty as Israel contemplates extending the initial phase under a U.S.-backed proposal, while Hamas demands comprehensive talks to end the conflict permanently. This widening gap highlights the significant challenges in achieving lasting peace.
Political Turmoil in Israel
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu finds himself at a crossroads, juggling political calculations with increasing public demand for peace. His government, supported by far-right coalition partners, faces intense pressure to maintain a hardline stance. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich has explicitly stated that deviating from the current policy—which insists on Hamas releasing more hostages before any concessions—could destabilize the government. Similarly, far-right figures like Itamar Ben-Gvir have resigned over disagreements on the ceasefire, advocating for the complete dismantlement of Hamas’s military and political structures.
Shifting Public Sentiment
Amidst governmental rigidity, public support for the war has reached new lows. A February poll by Channel 12 revealed that 70% of Israelis favor advancing to the second phase of the ceasefire. Notably, even within the right-wing coalition, 54% support the move, while 36% oppose it. The rise in anti-war protests, driven by families of hostages and activists, underscores the emotional and societal toll of the ongoing conflict.
Hamas' Unyielding Position
On the negotiating front, Hamas remains steadfast. Spokesperson Hazem Qassem emphasized that extending the first phase without moving towards a comprehensive deal is unacceptable. Hamas insists that negotiations must immediately address a full withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza and the release of all hostages, rejecting any temporary truce that prolongs the conflict.
U.S. Influence and Regional Dynamics
The U.S. has played a pivotal role in shaping the ceasefire dynamics, backing proposals that favor a temporary extension of the first phase. However, this stance has been criticized by many international actors as hindering meaningful peace talks. In contrast, Arab states have pushed back against Washington's approach, proposing a $53 billion reconstruction plan for Gaza. This plan aims to stabilize the region without leaving Hamas in power, highlighting the diverse perspectives influencing the peace process.
The Path Forward
Netanyahu’s unwavering stance is not just a military strategy but also a political maneuver to secure his leadership amidst corruption charges and a fragmented coalition. Balancing far-right demands with public calls for peace presents a formidable challenge. As the international community watches closely, the path to a sustainable ceasefire remains uncertain, hinging on the ability of key players to bridge the deep-seated divides.
Reference(s):
cgtn.com
