The Russia-Ukraine conflict is approaching its two-year anniversary, sparking increasing discussions about a potential peace deal. This comes in the wake of Ukraine's unsuccessful counteroffensive operation last summer, which has shifted the dynamics on the ground.
Western support for Kyiv appears to be waning, and signs of war fatigue are becoming more evident among both nations and their supporters. As the international community grapples with these changes, questions arise: What is the current situation on the ground? Is a peace deal within reach? And after 21 months of intense fighting, what is the most probable outcome of this enduring conflict?
To delve deeper into these issues, we spoke with experts in the field. Anton Fedyashin, an associate professor in the History Department of American University, provides historical context to the ongoing tensions. Mark Sleboda, a Moscow-based international affairs and security analyst, shares insights into Moscow's strategic moves. Meanwhile, Peter Zalmayev, director of the Eurasia Democracy Initiative, discusses the implications for democracy and regional stability.
As negotiations continue and the international landscape evolves, the possibility of a peace deal remains uncertain. However, the shifting support dynamics and prolonged conflict highlight the urgent need for a sustainable resolution.
Reference(s):
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