The Quad's recent challenges highlight a shifting global landscape. With the U.S. increasingly focused on domestic politics, questions arise about its commitment to this strategic alliance. The absence of U.S. President Joe Biden from the latest Quad summit marks the second time in eight months that domestic concerns have taken precedence.
Speculation is growing regarding the U.S.'s dedication to the Quad, especially as recent events suggest the alliance may no longer hold a top position in the U.S.'s regional priorities. Biden's decision to skip the summit, prioritizing internal matters, has disrupted India's plans to host the meeting after its Republic Day on January 26, casting doubt on the Quad's stability.
This isn't the first disruption; the previous summit scheduled for Sydney last May was also canceled when Biden deferred his trip to address the U.S. debt ceiling crisis. Now, Biden's latest decision to forgo a visit to India raises concerns about a potential second consecutive year of setbacks for the Quad summit.
The future of the Quad remains uncertain, reflecting the evolving nature of international alliances in a multipolar world. The looming elections in three of the four member countries— the U.S., India, and Japan—further complicate matters. With the U.S. and India approaching general elections and Japan's Liberal Democratic Party preparing for a leadership vote in September, the outcomes could significantly influence the Quad's trajectory.
Geopolitical dynamics intertwined with domestic political priorities underscore the complexities of sustaining the Quad alliance. Meanwhile, China watches these developments closely, recognizing the strategic importance of the Quad. India's role within the alliance remains pivotal yet unpredictable, especially given its nuanced relationship with the U.S. How India navigates its position will be crucial in shaping the Asia-Pacific's geopolitical landscape.
As the Quad grapples with internal uncertainties, its ability to influence regional dynamics and respond to global challenges remains on shaky ground. The coming months will be critical in determining whether the Quad can maintain its strategic relevance or if it will falter amidst shifting priorities and political landscapes.
Reference(s):
cgtn.com
