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What to expect at COP28: Climate summit amid disasters, war, inflation

As 2023 edges closer to becoming the hottest year on record, the urgency to meet global climate targets has never been more critical. The 28th session of the Conference of the Parties (COP28) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change is set to take place against a backdrop of natural disasters, ongoing conflicts, and economic challenges.

One of the primary hurdles COP28 faces is the persistent rift between the debt-stricken Global South and the affluent Global North. The latter has been slow to bridge the climate finance gap essential for developing nations to pursue sustainable growth. This financial divide threatens to undermine global efforts to combat climate change.

Adding to these challenges is the war in the Middle East, which has shifted global attention and resources away from climate initiatives to urgent humanitarian needs. The instability in this region not only deepens global divisions but also diverts critical funding that could otherwise be used to address environmental concerns.

Funding remains a cornerstone in the battle against climate change. In 2009, developed countries pledged to mobilize $100 billion annually by 2020 to support sustainable development in developing nations. However, this commitment remains largely unmet. In a recent address, COP28 President Sultan Al Jaber urged developed economies to honor their promise by providing \"available, accessible and affordable\" finance to the most vulnerable communities facing the brunt of the climate crisis.

Against this complex landscape, COP28 in Dubai is poised to focus on four key elements:

1. Assessing Global Emissions

Since the 2015 Paris Agreement, nations have committed to limiting global warming to 2 degrees Celsius, with aspirations for 1.5 degrees. However, a UN-backed panel warns that temperatures could rise by over 3 degrees Celsius if current trends continue. COP28 will feature a comprehensive \"global stocktake,\" evaluating each country's progress towards their Paris targets and identifying areas needing enhanced emissions reductions.

2. Securing Climate Financing

Effective climate action is intrinsically linked to robust financial support. Developing countries, already grappling with the impacts of extreme weather events like floods and hurricanes, urgently require funding for resilience and adaptation. COP28 will emphasize the importance of fulfilling financial commitments to ensure these nations can sustainably navigate climate challenges.

3. Strengthening Global Cooperation

The war in the Middle East underscores the fragility of global alliances. COP28 aims to foster stronger international cooperation, ensuring that geopolitical tensions do not impede collaborative efforts to address climate change. Building trust between nations is essential for a unified response.

4. Enhancing Transparency and Accountability

Transparency in reporting and accountability for climate commitments are vital for achieving the goals set forth in the Paris Agreement. COP28 will advocate for stringent monitoring mechanisms, enabling nations to track progress and hold each other accountable for their pledged actions.

In summary, COP28 arrives at a pivotal moment where the convergence of environmental, economic, and geopolitical challenges demands unprecedented levels of cooperation and commitment. As nations gather in Dubai, the outcomes of this summit will play a crucial role in shaping the future trajectory of global climate action.

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